#Print your brackets week 1 pick'em free

The two teams being picked by more than 70% of the public (besides Tennessee vs. You could also see picks going against the most popular public spread picks. In spread pools, you are likely to see picks on the Giants, as noted above, and also some games our models like and where the line has moved. Dallas (45% win odds, 33% popularity). Finally, if your pool is large enough to need an additional differentiating game in weekly contests, you could see Dallas as a small underdog that is somewhat unpopular.Enough of a typical pool is picking the Patriots, but the Dolphins are still favored by more than a field goal. The Dolphins technically aren’t a value favorite, but they are the highest-leverage team with greater than 60% win odds. In season-long pools, where we have a lot of games to go and play it conservatively early, you’ll see more picks on Tennessee to follow the crowd and differentiate elsewhere. They will be one of the top plays in spread pools, and possibly a key pick in weekly contests, especially larger ones. The Giants are the best value gamble, so you may only be seeing them if your pool format dictates more risk. NY Giants (37% win odds, 7% popularity).

In weekly contests and in some season-long ones, you should see Cleveland in your picks. Cleveland is another unpopular toss-up that’s being picked like a larger underdog in a game that could go either way. Cleveland (49% win odds, 27% popularity).(In spread pools, most entries probably have them at an underdog line.) You should see them across nearly all formats.

With the line shift after the overnight news of several key Packers offensive players being out, the Vikings are both a higher value and the favorite. Minnesota was already an unpopular toss-up this week and was likely part of most recommendations.

Minnesota (56% win odds, 37% popularity).

Here are the key NFL value plays for Week 1: The team that is now favored (Minnesota) has been the slight underdog all week. The primary one among them is a game where we have seen the odds shift. These are impacting the value picks available. Sunday 9/11 Reviewing Final Week 1 Dynamics On Sundayįor the opening week of the NFL season, we are seeing some late data shifts.

#Print your brackets week 1 pick'em free

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